{"id":1186,"date":"2015-10-21T11:07:00","date_gmt":"2015-10-21T11:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/2015\/10\/21\/hillary-regains-lead-in-nh-but-sti\/"},"modified":"2019-08-16T18:26:01","modified_gmt":"2019-08-16T18:26:01","slug":"hillary-regains-lead-in-nh-but-sti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/?p=1186","title":{"rendered":"Hillary Regains Lead In NH But Still Within Margin Of Error"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='__iawmlf-post-loop-links' style='display:none;' data-iawmlf-post-links='[{&quot;id&quot;:10049,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;http:\\\/\\\/www.wbur.org\\\/2015\\\/10\\\/21\\\/wbur-poll-new-hampshire-october&quot;,&quot;archived_href&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;redirect_href&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/www.wbur.org\\\/2015\\\/10\\\/21\\\/wbur-poll-new-hampshire-october&quot;,&quot;checks&quot;:[],&quot;broken&quot;:false,&quot;last_checked&quot;:null,&quot;process&quot;:&quot;done&quot;},{&quot;id&quot;:10050,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/www.scribd.com\\\/doc\\\/286246004\\\/Topline-WBUR-NH-Primary-2-Democrats-Oct-2015?secret_password=9TtVYqmjxzCcR3Vfh9wb&quot;,&quot;archived_href&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;redirect_href&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;checks&quot;:[],&quot;broken&quot;:false,&quot;last_checked&quot;:null,&quot;process&quot;:&quot;done&quot;}]'><\/div>\n<p>\nI normally do not report on the Democratic primary unless it reflects on gun rights. However, I got an email on Tuesday with an offer to see the pre-release results of the Topline WBUR survey of likely New Hampshire Democratic voters so long as I didn&#8217;t release the results before 5am EDT Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m no fool. I jumped on the offer!<\/p>\n<p>It looks like that post-Democratic debate that Hillary Clinton (D-carpetbagger) is now back in the lead against Bernie Sanders (D-VT). Even though Sanders and Clinton are essentially tied, the movement by Clinton from 31% to 38% is beyond the margin of error.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"tr_bq\">\n<table border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 448px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td class=\"xl65\" colspan=\"3\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan; width: 144pt;\" width=\"192\"><b>Vote preference with leaners<\/b><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl65\" style=\"width: 48pt;\" width=\"64\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl65\" style=\"width: 48pt;\" width=\"64\"><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\" style=\"width: 48pt;\" width=\"64\"><b>Sept 2015<\/b><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl66\" style=\"width: 48pt;\" width=\"64\"><b>Oct 2015<\/b>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\"><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Bernie<br \/>\n  Sanders<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">35%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">34%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Hillary<br \/>\n  Clinton<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">31%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">38%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Joe Biden<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">14%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Martin<br \/>\n  O&#8217;Malley<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">1%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Jim Webb<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">2%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Lincoln<br \/>\n  Chaffee<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">1%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">less than 1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Lawrence<br \/>\n  Lessig<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">NA<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"3\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Some other<br \/>\n  candidate<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">4%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"2\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Would not<br \/>\n  vote<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">2%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"3\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Don&#8217;t Know \/<br \/>\n  Refused<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">10%<\/td>\n<td class=\"xl67\">9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\"><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt;\">\n<td colspan=\"5\" height=\"20\" style=\"height: 15.0pt; mso-ignore: colspan;\">Margin of<br \/>\n  error is +\/- 4.9 percentage points.<\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\nThe poll did have some interesting tidbits. First, the majority of those polled thought Clinton could win (71%) in the general election while only a minority thought Sanders could win (39%). Clinton&#8217;s numbers rose significantly from September to October.<\/p>\n<p>Second, while the overwhelming majority (80%) thought Bernie Sanders was trustworthy, only a bare majority (53%) thought Hillary Clinton was trustworthy. These numbers stayed consistent (+\/- 2% points) between September and October.<\/p>\n<p>It will be interesting to see how this continues to play out.<\/p>\n<p>WBUR Boston has their take on their poll <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wbur.org\/2015\/10\/21\/wbur-poll-new-hampshire-october\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>. You can read the whole poll results <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scribd.com\/doc\/286246004\/Topline-WBUR-NH-Primary-2-Democrats-Oct-2015?secret_password=9TtVYqmjxzCcR3Vfh9wb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>&nbsp;including the questions and methodology.<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\" ><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I normally do not report on the Democratic primary unless it reflects on gun rights. However, I got an&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2082,2083],"class_list":["post-1186","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-new-hampshire-primary","tag-wbur-poll"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1186","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1186"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1186\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10502,"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1186\/revisions\/10502"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1186"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1186"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/onlygunsandmoney.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1186"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}